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Midterms 2026 · Report · File No. 261110-989

Colom's lead over Hyde-Smith holds near 2,600 votes as Mississippi ballot deadlines pass

Democrat Scott Colom stayed ahead of Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith as deadlines for provisional and mail ballots hit. The race is still uncalled, and a win would flip a seat in a state Trump carried with 60.9% in 2024.

Every quote in this story (2) was matched word for word against its source. How we work

My clippings
Cindy Hyde-Smith
Cindy Hyde-Smith. Photo: United States Senate, Public domain

Democrat Scott Colom added slightly to his narrow lead over Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith in Mississippi on Tuesday, as two key ballot deadlines arrived. As of 4:30 p.m. ET, Colom led by 2,607 votes out of 953,547 counted, a margin of 0.27 percentage points, according to the Associated Press (AP) figures reported by CNBC 1.

Newsweek, citing AP the same afternoon, put the gap at 2,575 votes, or 0.3 points. Both outlets say an estimated 97% of the vote is counted 12. The race has not been called 12.

On tapeForbes Breaking News · Nov 10
Scott Colom holds a press briefing Tuesday on the Mississippi Senate race and thanks first responders.Video: Forbes Breaking News on YouTube, “BREAKING NEWS: Scott Colom Holds A Press Briefing As Mississippi Senate Race Hangs In The Balance”. It plays from YouTube when you press play.

What the deadlines mean

Tuesday was the deadline to resolve affidavit, or provisional, ballots. Those are cast by voters whose eligibility is unclear on Election Day. It was also the deadline for mail-in absentee ballots postmarked by Nov. 3 to arrive 1.

Mississippi Secretary of State Michael Watson said late Monday that 2,578 absentee mail ballots were still out. He said 15,547 affidavit ballots had been processed, and 76% were accepted 2. Counties have until Nov. 13 to send certified results to his office 2.

From Channel GOPScott Colom says he will win Mississippi's Senate raceScott Colom · 3.6K plays · captioned, with the source named

Mississippi is one of two states with an uncalled Senate race. Alaska is the other 1. Democrats have already flipped seven Republican-held Senate seats, which gives them a majority of at least 54 of 100 seats in January 1.

A long shot that got close

Mississippi has not elected a Democratic senator since John Stennis in 1982. If Colom wins, he would be the state's first Black senator since Reconstruction, the period after the Civil War 1. President Trump won the state with 60.9% of the vote to Kamala Harris's 38% in 2024 2.

On tapeCNN · Nov 10
Nov. 10: Colom, ahead by 2,536 votes, tells CNN's Anderson Cooper he is confident; Annie Grayer reports from Jackson.Video: CNN on YouTube, “Now ahead by 2,536 votes, MS Dem Colom thinks he will win”. It plays from YouTube when you press play.

Newsweek says Mississippi moved more than 20 points toward Democrats this year. It credits national frustration with the Trump administration and high turnout among Black voters. National Democrats put money into the race late, after polls showed it closer than expected 2.

Newsweek also says a 28-second Colom ad drew national attention. It opens with Hyde-Smith saying consumers "have so many proteins to choose from," a remark made amid frustration over beef prices. It ends with Colom telling voters, "Pick another senator instead." 2

Pick another senator instead.
Scott Colom, Democratic Senate nominee and district attorney, D-Mississippi2

What happens next

Mississippi has no recount procedure. A candidate could challenge the result in court or appeal to the Senate 2.

Michael Morley, an election law expert at Florida State University, told Newsweek last week that even a certified winner could be challenged in the Senate. In his words, "the U.S. Constitution says the Senate itself is the ultimate judge." 2

The Colom campaign has not declared victory in the wire copy we reviewed, and neither candidate has conceded. The Nov. 13 certification deadline should make the final count clearer 2.

That matters because every seat counts in a closely divided Senate. Even with at least 54 seats, Democrats would add to that margin by winning a state few analysts expected to be in play 1.

The Record

  1. Election Day in Mississippi's Senate race between Colom and Hyde-Smith; the race remains uncalled a week later 2.
  2. Deadline for provisional ballots and postmarked mail ballots; Colom leads by about 2,600 votes, or 0.27 points 1.
  3. Deadline for Mississippi counties to submit certified results to the secretary of state 2.
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Sources

  1. CNBC, “Mississippi Senate: Scott Colom extends tight lead over Hyde-Smith as ballot deadlines hit” (2026-11-10). cnbc.com/2026/11/10/mississippi-senate-scott-colom-hyde-smit
  2. Newsweek, “Who Is Mississippi Senate Candidate Scott Colom's Wife, Nadia?” (2026-11-10). newsweek.com/who-is-mississippi-senate-candidate-scott-colom

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