The president chose him to bring interest rates down; four months into the job, the central bank under Warsh raised them instead, citing inflation that has stayed above its target.
Biography
Kevin Warsh was born in Albany, New York, on April 13, 1970, and holds a public policy degree from Stanford and a law degree from Harvard. 12 He worked in mergers and acquisitions at Morgan Stanley from 1995 to 2002, then joined President George W. Bush's White House as an economic policy aide and executive secretary of the National Economic Council. 2 He is married to Jane Lauder of the Estee Lauder cosmetics family. 1
Bush put him on the Federal Reserve's board in 2006, and he served through the financial crisis until 2011. 2 He then became a fellow at Stanford's Hoover Institution, a lecturer at its business school and a partner in investor Stanley Druckenmiller's family office. 23 From outside he criticized the central bank's handling of inflation after the pandemic, its bank regulation and the size of its bond holdings. 3
Trump nominated him on January 30, 2026, to succeed Jerome Powell. 1 Republican Sen. Thom Tillis blocked the nomination until the Justice Department dropped a criminal investigation of Powell in April. 3 At his hearing Warsh promised to act independently. 3 The Senate confirmed him 54-45 on May 13, the narrowest vote ever for the post, and he took office on May 22 for a four-year term. 32
He held rates steady at his first meetings, then on September 16 the committee voted unanimously to raise its target by a quarter point to between 3.75 and 4 percent, the first increase since 2023. 4 The president had called officials who wanted higher rates clowns. 4 On October 28 the committee held rates by a 10-2 vote, with two members wanting another increase, and Warsh announced changes to how often it will meet to set policy. 65
In the job
The acts and events that have defined the post so far, oldest first.
Took office as chairman; his seat on the board runs to January 31, 2040. 2
Led his first rate-setting meeting, which held rates steady; he introduced a shorter policy statement and task forces and declined to submit his own rate forecast. 17
The committee held rates again; three members who wanted an increase were outvoted 9-3. 47
At the Jackson Hole conference he said more than half of the items in the Fed's preferred price index had risen over 3 percent in a year, arguing inflation was not only about oil or tariffs. 4
The committee voted unanimously to raise its benchmark rate a quarter point to a range of 3.75 to 4 percent, its first increase since 2023. 47
The committee held rates at 3.75 to 4 percent by a 10-2 vote; Lisa Cook and Beth Hammack dissented in favor of a quarter-point increase. 6
Announced that from autumn 2027 one of the eight yearly policy meetings will become a strategy session with no rate vote, and that five task forces will report by year-end. 5
Disputes, and their side
What critics, courts or investigators have said, and the answer given. An allegation is not a finding.
Sen. Thom Tillis and other senators held up his nomination because the Justice Department was investigating Jerome Powell, an inquiry a federal judge found was aimed at harassing Powell; Democrats feared Warsh would bend to the president on rates. 3
Their side: Warsh told senators he would decide independently and that independence in setting rates is essential. 3
He disclosed assets of more than $100 million, including holdings in a hedge fund tied to his former employer, according to Wikipedia. 1
Their side: No public response found.
The president, who had said he chose Warsh to deliver the lowest rates in the world, attacked the committee for raising rates. 4
Their side: Warsh called the increase the right decision and declined to signal future moves, according to a search summary of coverage of his press conference. 4
He brought in Paul Winfree, who wrote the Federal Reserve section of the Project 2025 policy book, as a temporary adviser, according to Wikipedia. 1
Their side: No public response found.
Career
Morgan Stanley, mergers and acquisitions; vice president and executive director
Special assistant to President George W. Bush for economic policy and executive secretary of the National Economic Council
Member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors
Fellow at Stanford's Hoover Institution, business school lecturer and partner at the Duquesne Family Office
Nominee for Federal Reserve chair
Chairman of the Federal Reserve (term as chair runs to May 21, 2030)
In their own words
Quotes from our stories, each matched word for word against its source before it ran.
“The plain fact is that inflation is too high and has been for too long”
New York Fed President John Williams said Friday that inflation has been too high for too long. The Fed raised rates in September and held them last week, so savers and borrowers should not expect quick relief.
The Federal Reserve is widely expected to leave interest rates alone at its meeting this week, days before Election Day. Inflation rose to 3.7% in September, and voters blame President Trump's Iran war and tariffs.