With less than two weeks before Election Day on November 3, Republicans are putting in a large amount of money to protect their most vulnerable candidates. President Trump announced Tuesday that his political operation will spend over $400 million to support GOP candidates, The Hill reports. 1
The Republican National Committee (RNC) confirmed it is moving $50 million into the groups defending the House and Senate majorities. 1 Federal Election Commission filings show Trump's MAGA Inc. super PAC has spent $277 million over the last six weeks. 1 A super PAC is an outside group that can raise and spend unlimited sums on elections.
Where the party money is going
From mid-August to mid-October, the RNC moved more than $44 million to the National Republican Congressional Committee, which runs House races, and the National Republican Senatorial Committee, which runs Senate races. The two split it evenly. Each is expected to get $6 million more before Election Day. 1
A summer Supreme Court ruling helped make this possible. It walked back limits on party spending and lets parties coordinate with campaigns and spend unlimited sums. 1 RNC Chairman Joe Gruters said the money gives Republicans "the hard dollar edge in key battleground races across the country." 1
giving Republicans the hard dollar edge in key battleground races across the country
A majority in doubt
The spending comes as polls show the Republican majority in a shakier spot. Decision Desk HQ's latest forecast gives Republicans a 22 percent chance of holding the House. It puts the chance that the Senate also slips away at 56 percent. 1
On Tuesday, the Cook Political Report moved its ratings in 11 House districts and two Senate contests away from the GOP. It moved just one Senate race away from Democrats. 1
One Republican strategist, who spoke without being named, said a month ago even a novice observer would have expected Republicans to lose the House. Another said money has diminishing returns right now because most TV time is already bought. 1
Geoffrey Skelley, chief elections analyst for Decision Desk HQ, pointed to reports that Republicans are pulling money out of some tough races, including House districts in New Jersey and Iowa. He said that could be read as Republicans nearly admitting they will lose the House. 1
Democrats are raising money too
The RNC began the year with a $100 million cash advantage over the Democratic National Committee. Democratic candidates, though, posted huge third-quarter totals. 1
From July through September, Democrat James Talarico raised $64 million in his Texas Senate race against Trump-backed Ken Paxton. Sen. Jon Ossoff of Georgia raised $33 million. Abdul El-Sayed raised $31 million in Michigan against former Rep. Mike Rogers. 1 Skelley said Democratic candidates keep raising far more than Republican candidates, though Republicans definitely have more money. 1
Trump has also told his base to pretend he is on the ballot. He has promised $5,000 payments he calls Trump dividends for U.S. adults if Republicans keep both chambers. 1 On September 5, Trump said the MAGA Inc. money is money he controls. 2
I'm going to spend whatever amount of money necessary to try to help us
What happens next is simple: voters decide November 3. Skelley said it is harder to say whether the late millions can change the races, since each dollar buys less ad time this late. 1
The Record
- Trump says he will direct $400 million to $500 million from MAGA Inc. to Republicans for the midterms. 2
- Trump announces his political operation will spend over $400 million, and the RNC confirms a $50 million transfer to House and Senate groups. 1
- Election Day: all House seats and a set of Senate races are on the ballot. 1
Sources
- The Hill, “Trump, Republicans spend big in midterm home stretch” (2026-10-22). thehill.com/homenews/campaign/6164073-gop-last-minute-cash-i
- Reuters (via Jefferson City News Tribune), “Trump says he will spend $400 million to $500 million from his super PAC on midterm elections” (2026-09-05). newstribune.com/news/2026/sep/05/trump-says-he-will-spend-40
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