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Immigration · Report · File No. 261112-084

Trump threatens to double Mexico tariffs unless it stops migrant caravans

Trump posted that Mexico must block caravans heading north or face doubled tariffs, and he named Texas Gov.-elect Gina Hinojosa in the warning. No tariff order has been issued, and the post follows Democratic midterm wins.

By the National Desk · · 2 min read

Every quote in this story (1) was matched word for word against its source. How we work

My clippings
Donald Trump
Donald Trump. Photo: Daniel Torok, Public domain

President Donald Trump threatened on Thursday to double tariffs on Mexico if it does not stop migrants from entering the United States. He made the warning in a post on Truth Social, his social media site, after reports of a migrant caravan moving north 12.

Trump said he had told Mexico, the U.S. Border Patrol and Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) about his warning. He also named what he called the "VERY LIBERAL NEW GOVERNOR OF TEXAS" 1. That is Gina Hinojosa, a Democrat who beat Gov. Greg Abbott in last week's midterm election 1.

On tapeForbes Breaking News · Nov 12
Forbes report: Trump threatens to double tariffs on Mexico over caravan headed to U.S.Video: Forbes Breaking News on YouTube, “BREAKING NEWS: Trump Issues Public Threat To Mexico Over Caravan Headed To The U.S.”. It plays from YouTube when you press play.

Hinojosa is the first Latina governor in Texas history. She is also the first Democrat to hold the office since 1995 1.

Donald Trump
With the perceived loss by the Republicans in the Midterms - I WAS NOT ON THE BALLOT- the INVASION of our Country is taking place again
Donald Trump, President, Republican1

What the caravan looks like

Reuters reported that the caravan has about 1,500 migrants, mostly from Central America. Newsweek said they went to Mexico hoping Democratic midterm wins would soften Trump's border policies 1. Business Upturn reported that the group left Tapachula, in southern Mexico, on Tuesday 2.

From Channel GOPTrump dodges rigged-election question, calls Massie loserDonald Trump · 525 plays · captioned, with the source named

Mexico had not immediately responded, according to Business Upturn. It said President Claudia Sheinbaum was scheduled to take up the issue at a news conference on Thursday 2.

Not yet a tariff order

This is a threat, not a confirmed tariff. The scope of any increase, its legal basis and the products it would cover were not specified, Business Upturn reported 2.

U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer has signaled that Trump is ready to use tariffs as leverage over Mexico, according to that report 2. It also said Trump had previously given Greer a mandate to consider tariffs and quotas in a future arrangement with Mexico 2.

The threat comes during talks over the U.S.-Mexico-Canada trade pact, known as USMCA. The three countries held a joint review on July 1. Washington declined to renew the pact in its existing form, though it remains in force 2.

Why it matters

Trump's post ties the caravan to the election. He wrote that with the "perceived loss by the Republicans in the Midterms," what he called an "INVASION" was "taking place again" 1. He also wrote, "I WAS NOT ON THE BALLOT" 1.

That matters because the post links trade policy, border enforcement and a newly elected Democratic governor in one message. The threat is aimed at Mexico, but it also puts Hinojosa on notice before she takes office. We found no public response from her in the coverage we reviewed.

Analysis: if a higher tariff is imposed, importers would face higher costs. Those costs can reach shoppers in the form of higher prices. For now, no tariff has been announced, so the key things to watch are Sheinbaum's answer and whether the White House issues a formal order.

The Record

  1. The U.S., Mexico and Canada held a joint review of USMCA. Washington declined to renew the pact in its existing form, though it remains in force 2.
  2. A caravan of about 1,500 migrants, mostly from Central America, left Tapachula in southern Mexico 2.
  3. Trump posted on Truth Social that Mexico must stop caravans or face doubled tariffs, and named Texas Gov.-elect Gina Hinojosa 1.
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Sources

  1. Newsweek, “Trump Issues Warning to Mexico, Gina Hinojosa Over Border: 'No Leniency'” (2026-11-12). newsweek.com/trump-warning-mexico-gina-hinojosa-border-migra
  2. Business Upturn, “Greer says Trump ready to act on Mexico tariffs amid migrant caravan row” (2026-11-12). businessupturn.com/usa/news/greer-says-trump-ready-to-act-on

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