Monday, October 26, 2026 Vol. I · No. 6 · Late Edition Print size
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The Wire
Texas early vote tops 4.5 million, up 74%, as Talarico and Paxton run neck and neck Judge extends block on Trump's plan to remake East Potomac public golf course Justice Department moves to charge James Comey a third time, days before midterms Illinois man charged over four white-powder letters to Congress; FBI says it was salt Appeals court dismisses DOJ bid to set aside California ballots a week before midterms Blakeman's campaign finance reports face a Democratic complaint days before the election Trump calls Brazil's election 'rigged' as MAGA allies echo Bolsonaro's fraud claims FTC and 20 states sue Dollar General, alleging it overcharged shoppers at checkout On tape: El-Sayed: "My name and my faith are not the reason you can't afford gas." On tape: Trump trips over Abdul El-Sayed's name, but El-Sayed says Trump doesn't seem to mind it from the Saudis or Qatar Texas early vote tops 4.5 million, up 74%, as Talarico and Paxton run neck and neck Judge extends block on Trump's plan to remake East Potomac public golf course Justice Department moves to charge James Comey a third time, days before midterms Illinois man charged over four white-powder letters to Congress; FBI says it was salt Appeals court dismisses DOJ bid to set aside California ballots a week before midterms Blakeman's campaign finance reports face a Democratic complaint days before the election Trump calls Brazil's election 'rigged' as MAGA allies echo Bolsonaro's fraud claims FTC and 20 states sue Dollar General, alleging it overcharged shoppers at checkout On tape: El-Sayed: "My name and my faith are not the reason you can't afford gas." On tape: Trump trips over Abdul El-Sayed's name, but El-Sayed says Trump doesn't seem to mind it from the Saudis or Qatar
Adam Hamilton U.S. Senate — Kansas Toss-up First run
KSnominee

U.S. Senate — Kansas · First run

Adam Hamilton

Adam Hamilton is the founding pastor of the Church of the Resurrection in Leawood, the largest United Methodist congregation in the country. He won a crowded 11-candidate Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, and polls in October show a close race against Republican Sen. Roger Marshall.

On the ballot against Roger Marshall (R)

Why it matters: Kansas has not elected a Democratic U.S. senator since 1939, so a Hamilton win would be a rare Democratic pickup in a Republican-held seat.

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The race at a glance

Race ratingToss-upCook Political Report, Oct 26 source
Polling average (3 polls) Hamilton 46.3% 45.7% Marshall 8% undecided or other Hamilton +0.6 Sep 11Oct 16Most recent poll from each pollster, Oct 2 to Oct 16. Checked 25 min ago. Every poll

Every poll in this race

PollsterDateSampleHamiltonMarshallMargin
InsiderAdvantageOct 161,200 LV47%48%R +1
InsiderAdvantageOct 111,200 LV48%47%D +1
YouGovOct 62,253 LV48%45%D +3
Trafalgar GroupOct 21,095 LV · Margin of error ±2.9%44%44%Tied
Emerson CollegeSep 18750 LV · Margin of error ±3.6%45%43%D +2
co/efficientSep 11915 LV · Margin of error ±3.2%44%49%R +5

LV = likely voters, RV = registered voters. Polls listed by 270toWin. Each pollster name links to its own release.

In Adam's own words

The average American family is paying $200 a month more for the same things than they were paying a year ago
Adam Hamilton, Primary night victory speech on the cost of living, as reported by KCUR, Aug 4 source

Where Adam stands

Tariffs and cost of living
He wants to end tariffs and unnecessary wars that raise energy and housing costs, and to require congressional approval before new tariffs take effect. source
Health care
He backs expanding Medicare drug price negotiation, reversing Medicaid cuts, restoring enhanced ACA premium subsidies, and protecting rural hospitals from closing. source
Seniors
He wants Medicare to cover vision and dental care, more reimbursement for home-based care, and stronger federal action against elder fraud. source
Agriculture
He wants tariffs on farm inputs and exports removed, double the USDA export promotion funding, pass a full farm bill, and pass year-round E15 fuel blends. source
Government ethics
He supports banning members of Congress from trading individual stocks and setting 18-year term limits for Congress and the Supreme Court. source

The record

  • Founded and is senior pastor of the United Methodist Church of the Resurrection in Leawood, Kansas.
  • Author of more than 30 books on Christian faith; appointed by President Obama in 2016 to the President's Advisory Council on Faith-Based and Neighborhood Partnerships.
  • Born in 1964 and raised in Prairie Village, Kansas; has not previously held elected office.
ConfidentialThe GOP File

The file on Roger Marshall

  • Marshall is a first-term Republican senator, an OB/GYN before entering politics, who was first elected in 2020 with 53.2% of the vote and has served since 2021. source
  • The New York Times reported that Marshall's medical practice sued more than 700 former patients over unpaid bills. In at least 81 cases, patients were arrested after failing to appear in court. A Marshall campaign letter called a Hamilton ad about one such case 'defamatory.' source
  • Marshall is a close ally of President Trump, who urged Kansans to back him, and he faced only one long-shot primary challenger who was not actively campaigning. source

Endorsed by

Gov. Laura Kelly (D)Former Kansas Govs. Mike Hayden (R) and Bill Graves (R)Former Kansas Govs. John Carlin (D) and Mark Parkinson (D)The Kansas City StarKansas AFL-CIO

On tape

Trump says permanent year-round E15 depends on Roger Marshall: "If Adam Hamilton is in, I'm not doing it."Oct 21Adam Hamilton: 63,000 Kansans, about 1 in 50, lost their health insurance in a year and a half.Oct 20

In the files

Climate

FEMA chief tells states to build their own disaster reserves as federal help shrinks

FEMA Administrator Cameron Hamilton told state emergency managers that changes to federal disaster aid could begin within six months, and that states should be able to handle most disasters without Washington. Texas flood victims are already recovering without FEMA's direct aid to households, and Democrats say families will pay the price.

Adam Hamilton. Photo: Working Preacher, CC BY 4.0

Profile sources: 1, 2, 3, 4

Race data checked Monday, October 26, 2026. Quotes on this page were matched word for word against their sources.