Wednesday, October 21, 2026 Vol. I · No. 22 · Late Edition Print size
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The Wire
Ilhan Omar says agents took 17 items in raid, and threats will force her to move On tape: Asked to pledge no election interference, Kash Patel said he won't take part in a "charade of lies." Vance defends Ramaswamy ad using Amy Acton's estranged mother in Ohio race Democrats sue Trump and DOJ over pressure on state election officials before midterms On tape: Asked if hundreds of FBI agents in Georgia produced a single indictment, Kash Patel says: "Not if it was sealed." On tape: Schiff asks Kash Patel point blank: were Trump-case agents purged from the FBI? Trump's women's health order creates an NIH division but sets no dollar amount Medicaid cuts dominate Senate debates as Republicans defend their 2025 law Trump rallies for Darline Graham as South Carolina Senate race tightens On tape: Talarico says Ken Paxton will show up anywhere but a Texas debate stage Ilhan Omar says agents took 17 items in raid, and threats will force her to move On tape: Asked to pledge no election interference, Kash Patel said he won't take part in a "charade of lies." Vance defends Ramaswamy ad using Amy Acton's estranged mother in Ohio race Democrats sue Trump and DOJ over pressure on state election officials before midterms On tape: Asked if hundreds of FBI agents in Georgia produced a single indictment, Kash Patel says: "Not if it was sealed." On tape: Schiff asks Kash Patel point blank: were Trump-case agents purged from the FBI? Trump's women's health order creates an NIH division but sets no dollar amount Medicaid cuts dominate Senate debates as Republicans defend their 2025 law Trump rallies for Darline Graham as South Carolina Senate race tightens On tape: Talarico says Ken Paxton will show up anywhere but a Texas debate stage
Katie Hobbs Governor — Arizona Lean D
AZincumbent nominee

Governor — Arizona

Katie Hobbs

Arizona's governor, a former social worker, is seeking a second term in the swing state Trump carried by the widest margin in 2024. She faces Rep. Andy Biggs, a former House Freedom Caucus chair, in what AP expects to be one of the closest governor's races of the year.

On the ballot against Andy Biggs (R)

Why it matters: Arizona is a swing state where a Democratic governor is seeking a second term, and Cook rates the race Lean Democrat.

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The race at a glance

Race ratingLean DCook Political Report, Oct 13 source
Polling average (4 polls) Hobbs 49.2% 38.8% Biggs 12% undecided or other Hobbs +10.4▲ 0.7 this week Aug 6Oct 19Most recent poll from each pollster, Oct 10 to Oct 19. Checked 32 min ago. Every poll
Money raised Hobbs$2,600,000 Biggs$916,700 Second quarter of 2026 only (April 1 - June 30); Hobbs spent $7.4 million that quarter. Biggs had about $1.2 million on hand. No later report found. $2,400,000 cash on hand. source

Every poll in this race

PollsterDateSampleHobbsBiggsMargin
BSP ResearchOct 191,300 RV47%34%D +13
WickOct 131,513 LV49%43%D +6
HighGround Inc.Oct 13400 LV51%34%D +17
GrayhouseOct 10550 LV50%44%D +6
HighGround Inc.Aug 25400 LV · Margin of error ±4.9%50%34%D +16
Quantus InsightsAug 21780 LV · Margin of error ±4.1%49%43%D +6
NextGen PollingAug 201,627 RV · Margin of error ±2.6%39%38%D +1
Noble Predictive InsightsAug 20923 LV · Margin of error ±3.2%48%35%D +13
Stealth AnalyticsAug 17530 LV · Margin of error ±4.3%43%38%D +5
AARPAug 6913 LV · Margin of error ±3.2%52%44%D +8
Noble Predictive InsightsMay 15996 RV · Margin of error ±3.1%41%37%D +4
TIPPApr 291,159 LV · Margin of error ±3.2%48%38%D +10

LV = likely voters, RV = registered voters. Polls listed by 270toWin, which lists 17 polls in this race; the newest 12 are shown. Each pollster name links to its own release.

Katie's TV ads

Campaign adGovernor, AZ

Katie Hobbs

“Lived It”

Hobbs +10.4▲ 0.7 this weekFrom the campaign's own channel · 6M views

Campaign adGovernor, AZ

Katie Hobbs

“Work”

Hobbs +10.4▲ 0.7 this weekFrom the campaign's own channel · 4.8M views

Posted by the campaign on YouTube. Plays from YouTube when you press play.

In Katie's own words

He called for pardoning of the January 6th defendants, and called them J6 political prisoners. And when those pardons were issued, and those folks were being released, he went to the DC jail, and stood with supporters when those folks were being released,
Katie Hobbs, On Andy Biggs at an Arizona Police Association public safety forum in Phoenix, Aug 26 source
President @BarackObama has always been a friend of Arizona and I’m honored to have his support again.
Katie Hobbs, Responding on social media to former President Obama's endorsement, Oct 13 source

Where Katie stands

Housing and costs
Points to ending the tax on rent, down payment help for first-time buyers and cutting red tape to build more housing. source
Medical debt
Is canceling $2 billion in medical debt for one million Arizonans. source
Border security
Created a Border Coordination Office, sent more than $100 million in border security money to local police and deployed the National Guard to the border. source
Water
Backs the water compromise she signed and ended state land leases to a foreign company pumping Arizona groundwater. source
Abortion and health care
Signed the 2024 repeal of Arizona's 1864 abortion ban and made birth control available over the counter. source

The record

  • Governor of Arizona since 2023
  • Trained social worker with degrees from Northern Arizona University and Arizona State University
  • Arizona secretary of state, 2019–2023
  • Unopposed in the 2026 Democratic primary
ConfidentialThe GOP File

The file on Andy Biggs

  • Rep. Andy Biggs has the backing of President Trump and Turning Point USA. source
  • Hobbs says Biggs stood outside the D.C. jail as pardoned Jan. 6 defendants were released, which Biggs calls a fabrication; an NBC Washington report said Biggs and two other Freedom Caucus members were outside the jail awaiting the releases. source
  • Asked about Trump's Jan. 6 pardons, Biggs said some of the defendants deserved them and some did not, and that it was the president's decision. source

Endorsed by

Former President Barack ObamaArizona AFL-CIO

Katie Hobbs. Photo: Gage Skidmore from Surprise, AZ, United States of America, CC BY-SA 4.0

Profile sources: 1, 2

Race data checked Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Quotes on this page were matched word for word against their sources.