Wednesday, October 21, 2026 Vol. I · No. 22 · Late Edition Print size
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The Wire
White House pulls reporter from press pool after Trump clash; WHCA alleges retaliation El-Sayed and Rogers trade sharp words in final Michigan Senate debate On tape: El-Sayed in the Senate debate: the SAVE Act would make women who changed their names dig up birth certificates to vote Ilhan Omar says agents took 17 items in raid, and threats will force her to move On tape: Asked to pledge no election interference, Kash Patel said he won't take part in a "charade of lies." Vance defends Ramaswamy ad using Amy Acton's estranged mother in Ohio race Democrats sue Trump and DOJ over pressure on state election officials before midterms On tape: Asked if hundreds of FBI agents in Georgia produced a single indictment, Kash Patel says: "Not if it was sealed." On tape: Schiff asks Kash Patel point blank: were Trump-case agents purged from the FBI? Trump's women's health order creates an NIH division but sets no dollar amount White House pulls reporter from press pool after Trump clash; WHCA alleges retaliation El-Sayed and Rogers trade sharp words in final Michigan Senate debate On tape: El-Sayed in the Senate debate: the SAVE Act would make women who changed their names dig up birth certificates to vote Ilhan Omar says agents took 17 items in raid, and threats will force her to move On tape: Asked to pledge no election interference, Kash Patel said he won't take part in a "charade of lies." Vance defends Ramaswamy ad using Amy Acton's estranged mother in Ohio race Democrats sue Trump and DOJ over pressure on state election officials before midterms On tape: Asked if hundreds of FBI agents in Georgia produced a single indictment, Kash Patel says: "Not if it was sealed." On tape: Schiff asks Kash Patel point blank: were Trump-case agents purged from the FBI? Trump's women's health order creates an NIH division but sets no dollar amount
Troy Jackson U.S. Senate — Maine Toss-up First run
MEnominee

U.S. Senate — Maine · First run

Troy Jackson

A former logger from northern Aroostook County who rose to Maine Senate president, Jackson was chosen by Maine Democrats at a July 25 convention after primary winner Graham Platner withdrew. He is taking on five-term Sen. Susan Collins, and October polls show a toss-up race.

On the ballot against Susan Collins (R)

Why it matters: Collins holds the Republican seat Democrats most want to flip, and if she holds on, the Democratic path to a Senate majority narrows.

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The race at a glance

Race ratingToss-upCook Political Report, Oct 20 source
Polling average (6 polls) Jackson 49% 46.7% Collins 4% undecided or other Jackson +2.3 Jul 21Oct 16Most recent poll from each pollster, Oct 3 to Oct 16. Checked Today, 9:51 PM ET. Every poll
Money raised Jackson$20,431,280 Collins$24,131,410 Collins's total covers her whole term since 2021; Jackson's covers this campaign. $3,956,817 cash on hand. source

Every poll in this race

PollsterDateSampleJacksonCollinsMargin
InsiderAdvantageOct 161,200 LV49%47%D +2
Suffolk UniversityOct 14500 LV49%47%D +2
Wash. Post-Schar SchoolOct 9800 LV · Margin of error ±3.6%50%46%D +4
Marist PollOct 61,505 RV · Margin of error ±3.8%51%47%D +4
Maine People's Resource CenterOct 5684 RV · Margin of error ±3.8%49%47%D +2
Trafalgar GroupOct 31,091 LV · Margin of error ±2.9%46%46%Tied
CBS / YouGovOct 21,114 RV · Margin of error ±4.7%50%50%Tied
AARPOct 1982 LV · Margin of error ±3.1%50%47%D +3
co/efficientSep 301,240 LV · Margin of error ±2.8%46%48%R +2
InsiderAdvantageSep 261,200 LV · Margin of error ±2.8%46%46%Tied
Univ. of New HampshireSep 241,312 LV · Margin of error ±2.7%51%47%D +4
UMass LowellSep 24650 LV · Margin of error ±4.7%48%43%D +5

LV = likely voters, RV = registered voters. Polls listed by 270toWin, which lists 18 polls in this race; the newest 12 are shown. Each pollster name links to its own release.

Troy's TV ads

Campaign adSenate, ME

Troy Jackson

“Fifth”

Jackson +2.3From the campaign's own channel · 3.5M views

Campaign adSenate, ME

Troy Jackson

“Grocery Store”

Jackson +2.3From the campaign's own channel · 1.4M views

Posted by the campaign on YouTube. Plays from YouTube when you press play.

In Troy's own words

She’s like an arsonist who helped set the fire, and then she wants credit for bringing a cup of water to put it out
Troy Jackson, at the first debate, on Collins's vote to advance the Big Beautiful Bill before voting against its final passage, Oct 6 source

Where Troy stands

Health care
He supports Medicare for All so every American can get care without worrying about premiums, deductibles or medical bankruptcy. source
Prescription drugs
He wants the federal government to negotiate drug prices directly, building on the drug affordability board and Canadian import path he created in Maine. source
Social Security
He would lift the cap so the wealthiest Americans pay into Social Security at the same rate working people do. source
Abortion rights
He wants to make the right to abortion federal law. source
Congressional stock trading
He supports a full ban on members of Congress trading individual stocks. source

The record

  • Former logger from northern Aroostook County
  • Maine Senate president and majority leader, 2018–2024
  • Nominated 566–5 by convention delegates on July 25, 2026, after Graham Platner withdrew
ConfidentialThe GOP File

The file on Susan Collins

  • Collins voted to advance Trump's Big Beautiful Bill but voted against its final passage; she said she backed advancing it to add a $50 billion rural hospital fund. source
  • Collins stood by her vote to confirm Justice Brett Kavanaugh, who later voted to overturn Roe v. Wade. source
  • A 2025 CQ Roll Call analysis found Collins voted with Trump 95 percent of the time; she disputes it, citing other analyses with lower numbers. source

Endorsed by

AFL-CIOMaine AFL-CIOMaine Education AssociationPlanned Parenthood Maine Action FundAlliance for Retired Americans

On tape

Troy Jackson says Susan Collins backed the Iran war and cut heating aid while billionaires got tax cuts.Oct 21Bernie Sanders: Elon Musk's money is coming into Maine against Troy JacksonOct 21

In the files

Congress · Analysis

Medicaid cuts dominate Senate debates as Republicans defend their 2025 law

With the Nov. 3 midterm less than two weeks away, Democrats in at least six Senate races are attacking Republicans over the Medicaid cuts in the GOP's 2025 budget law and promising to restore the money. Republicans are mostly pointing to a $50 billion rural health fund, which ends in four years. The cuts are permanent.

Troy Jackson. Photo: ArenLeBrun, CC0

Profile sources: 1, 2, 3

Race data checked Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Quotes on this page were matched word for word against their sources.