Wednesday, October 21, 2026 Vol. I · No. 22 · Late Edition Print size
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The Wire
Ilhan Omar says agents took 17 items in raid, and threats will force her to move On tape: Asked to pledge no election interference, Kash Patel said he won't take part in a "charade of lies." Vance defends Ramaswamy ad using Amy Acton's estranged mother in Ohio race Democrats sue Trump and DOJ over pressure on state election officials before midterms On tape: Asked if hundreds of FBI agents in Georgia produced a single indictment, Kash Patel says: "Not if it was sealed." On tape: Schiff asks Kash Patel point blank: were Trump-case agents purged from the FBI? Trump's women's health order creates an NIH division but sets no dollar amount Medicaid cuts dominate Senate debates as Republicans defend their 2025 law Trump rallies for Darline Graham as South Carolina Senate race tightens On tape: Talarico says Ken Paxton will show up anywhere but a Texas debate stage Ilhan Omar says agents took 17 items in raid, and threats will force her to move On tape: Asked to pledge no election interference, Kash Patel said he won't take part in a "charade of lies." Vance defends Ramaswamy ad using Amy Acton's estranged mother in Ohio race Democrats sue Trump and DOJ over pressure on state election officials before midterms On tape: Asked if hundreds of FBI agents in Georgia produced a single indictment, Kash Patel says: "Not if it was sealed." On tape: Schiff asks Kash Patel point blank: were Trump-case agents purged from the FBI? Trump's women's health order creates an NIH division but sets no dollar amount Medicaid cuts dominate Senate debates as Republicans defend their 2025 law Trump rallies for Darline Graham as South Carolina Senate race tightens On tape: Talarico says Ken Paxton will show up anywhere but a Texas debate stage
Josh Turek U.S. Senate — Iowa Toss-up First run
IAnominee

U.S. Senate — Iowa · First run

Josh Turek

A two-time Paralympic gold medalist in wheelchair basketball and a state representative from Council Bluffs, Turek beat state Sen. Zach Wahls in the June 2 primary. He faces Rep. Ashley Hinson for the open seat left by retiring Sen. Joni Ernst.

On the ballot against Ashley Hinson (R)

Why it matters: This is an open Republican-held seat after Sen. Joni Ernst's retirement, and a Turek win would be a Democratic pickup in a state Trump carried by 13 points in 2024.

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The race at a glance

Race ratingToss-upCook Political Report, Oct 20 source
Polling average (6 polls) Turek 45.2% 46.2% Hinson 9% undecided or other Hinson +1▼ 2.2 this week Jun 26Oct 20Most recent poll from each pollster, Oct 8 to Oct 20. Checked 32 min ago. Every poll
Money raised (through Sep 30) Turek$20,152,882 Hinson$13,472,386 $3,607,093 cash on hand. source

Every poll in this race

PollsterDateSampleTurekHinsonMargin
National Public AffairsOct 20678 LV44%47%R +3
co/efficientOct 19863 LV45%48%R +3
Trafalgar GroupOct 171,094 LV44%46%R +2
Marist PollOct 151,100 LV48%45%D +3
YouGovOct 142,245 LV47%46%D +1
CNN / SSRSOct 8801 LV43%45%R +2
Suffolk UniversityOct 7500 LV48%44%D +4
Siena CollegeOct 3606 LV · Margin of error ±4.6%47%48%R +1
Fox NewsOct 11,008 LV · Margin of error ±3%49%47%D +2
Quantus InsightsSep 30738 LV · Margin of error ±3.8%47%49%R +2
InsiderAdvantageSep 261,200 LV · Margin of error ±2.8%47%46%D +1
Marist PollSep 221,050 RV · Margin of error ±4.4%50%42%D +8

LV = likely voters, RV = registered voters. Polls listed by 270toWin, which lists 22 polls in this race; the newest 12 are shown. Each pollster name links to its own release.

Josh's TV ads

Campaign adSenate, IA

Josh Turek

“Josh Turek: USA”

Hinson +1▼ 2.2 this weekFrom the campaign's own channel · 2M views

Campaign adSenate, IA

Josh Turek

“Push”

Hinson +1▼ 2.2 this weekFrom the campaign's own channel · 953K views

Posted by the campaign on YouTube. Plays from YouTube when you press play.

In Josh's own words

Let’s make sure that billionaires and large corporations are paying their fair share.
Josh Turek, at the Oct. 7 Iowa PBS debate, on keeping Social Security solvent, Oct 7 source

Where Josh stands

Social Security
He opposes raising the retirement age and wants to lift the cap on wages subject to Social Security taxes so the wealthy pay their fair share. source
Health care
He wants to restore Medicaid funding cut by the 2025 budget law, protect Affordable Care Act subsidies, and let Medicare negotiate lower drug prices. source
Cost of living
He backs middle-class tax cuts, a federal ban on food price gouging, and barring Wall Street private equity firms from buying single-family homes and farmland. source
Corruption
He supports banning members of Congress and their spouses from trading stocks and says he takes no corporate PAC money. source

The record

  • Won Paralympic gold in wheelchair basketball in 2016 and 2020
  • Iowa state representative since 2023, described as the first legislator there with a permanent disability
  • Won the Democratic primary 62.6% to 37.4%
ConfidentialThe GOP File

The file on Ashley Hinson

  • Hinson voted for President Trump's One Big Beautiful Bill in July 2025 and said she was proud to help pass it. source
  • At the Oct. 7 debate Hinson suggested she is open to phasing in an increase in the age at which retirees can draw Social Security. source
  • Hinson was one of the first Republicans to break with Trump on the Iran war, calling in September for it to be brought to a quick end. source

Endorsed by

Iowa Federation of LaborIowa State Education AssociationUnited Auto Workers (UAW)Former U.S. Sen. Tom HarkinPete Buttigieg

On tape

Josh Turek reads out his opponent's record: healthcare, tariffs, and "7 times" for the warOct 21

Profile sources: 1, 2

Race data checked Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Quotes on this page were matched word for word against their sources.