Health Care · Report · File No. 261106-252
Democrats eye Medicaid expansion in Georgia, Kansas, Texas and Wisconsin after wins
Democratic wins in four holdout states have revived talk of expanding Medicaid to low-income adults, including some in their late 50s and early 60s. Details are thin, and new federal work rules that start in January complicate the effort.
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Democrats who won power in several states this week are looking at expanding Medicaid under the Affordable Care Act. Stateline reports that in at least four states, Georgia, Kansas, Texas and Wisconsin, the election results have tilted the politics toward expansion. Lawmakers have not yet laid out details 1.
Medicaid is the joint federal-state health insurance program for people with low incomes. The Affordable Care Act, also called Obamacare, lets states cover adults earning up to 138% of the federal poverty line, about $22,000 a year for a single person. The federal government pays 90% of the cost for those newly eligible 1.
Forty states took that deal and added nearly 20 million people to the rolls. Ten states have not, mostly under Republican control 1. Georgetown University's Center for Children and Families, citing KFF estimates, says 1.2 million low-income uninsured people in those states fall into a "coverage gap." They earn too little for Marketplace subsidies and do not qualify for Medicaid 2.
State by state
In Georgia, Gov.-elect Keisha Lance Bottoms made full expansion central to her campaign. Democrats won every statewide office on the ballot and appear set to take the state House. Republicans still hold the state Senate, so Democrats would need some Republican votes 1.
From Channel GOPKeisha Lance Bottoms wins Georgia governor's raceKeisha Lance Bottoms · 1.2K plays · captioned, with the source named
State Rep. Michelle Au, a Democrat and physician, said a 2024 expansion bill had bipartisan support. It died in committee, she said, largely because Republican Gov. Brian Kemp did not back it 1.
In Texas, Democrat Gina Hinojosa won the governor's race and Democrats flipped the state House. Republicans kept the Senate. Hinojosa told a Houston television station she would push the Legislature to expand Medicaid 1.
In Kansas, Democrats flipped as many as 20 House seats and ended the Republican supermajority there. Votes are still being counted. Democrat Cindy Holscher holds a narrow lead for governor, and she campaigned on expansion 1.
Wisconsin Democrats now hold the governor's office and both legislative chambers. House Speaker-to-be Greta Neubauer stopped short of promising expansion and said lawmakers will weigh several options 1.
It’s a shame that Wisconsin has not done that up to this point,
The federal catch
In July 2025, President Trump signed a tax and spending law projected to cut federal Medicaid spending by about $886.8 billion over 10 years, according to Congressional Budget Office estimates. Much of that comes from new work requirements. They take effect in January and apply to people covered through expansion 1.
KFF's Larry Levitt said the new Democratic-controlled Congress is expected to look at delaying or reversing those changes. That could make expansion more attractive to states like Texas and Georgia 1. The Georgetown analysis calls repeal an "uphill battle" 2.
That matters because many people in their late 50s and early 60s are too young for Medicare, which starts at 65. If they earn little and live in one of these states, expansion could be their only route to affordable coverage. Nothing has passed yet, and every step still needs a legislature.
The Record
- Trump signed a tax and spending law projected to cut federal Medicaid spending by about $886.8 billion over 10 years 1.
- Democrats won governorships and legislative seats in states that have not expanded Medicaid 1.
- Georgetown's Center for Children and Families said the election made expansion more viable in Georgia, Kansas, Texas and Wisconsin 2.
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Sources
- Stateline, “Democratic wins put Medicaid expansion back in play in holdout states” (2026-11-06). stateline.org/2026/11/06/democratic-wins-put-medicaid-expans
- Georgetown University Center for Children and Families, “Will Lawmakers Heed the Call for More Affordable Health Care by Expanding Medicaid in TX, GA, KS & WI?” (2026-11-05). ccf.georgetown.edu/2026/11/05/will-lawmakers-heed-the-call-f
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