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Your Money · Report · File No. 261115-702

Democrats target Trump's tariffs in 2027, but need 12 GOP senators to beat a veto

After midterm losses in farm and border states, some Republicans say Trump's import taxes cost them. Democrats plan to start by repealing the tariffs on Canada, but Trump has promised to be 'Mr. Veto.'

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Ron Wyden
Ron Wyden. Photo: U.S. Senate Photographic Studio, Public domain

For two years, Republicans in Congress mostly avoided public fights over President Trump's tariffs, the taxes on imported goods. Last week's election suggests that loyalty cost them 1. Now the question is whether enough Republicans will break ranks to help Democrats undo tariffs that Democrats say have raised prices on groceries, housing, energy and cars 15.

CNN reported Friday that, nationally, two-thirds of voters said Trump's tariffs hurt the national economy 1. Democrats flipped seats in farm states such as Iowa and Kansas and in northern border states such as Maine and Michigan 6. Canadian tariffs are emerging as an early target when the new Congress convenes at the start of 2027 1.

On tapeCNBC · Nov 14
CNBC's Liz Napolitano reports on whether a Democratic Congress may ease U.S. tariffs on Canada.Video: CNBC on YouTube, “Will A Democratic Congress Ease U.S. Tariffs On Canada?”. It plays from YouTube when you press play.

The veto math

As of Thursday afternoon, Democrats and their independent allies held 55 of the Senate's 100 seats and 255 of the House's 435, CNN reported. One Senate race and 12 House races were still uncalled 1. That is a majority, but it is not enough to beat a veto. Overriding one takes two-thirds of each chamber, so even if every Democrat voted yes, they would still need at least 12 Republican senators and 35 House Republicans 1.

The Senate's filibuster rule adds a second hurdle: most bills need 60 votes to get past it 2. Trump has made his plans clear. "I'll become Mr. Veto," he said in an Election Day interview on the New York Post's Pod Force One 1.

From Channel GOPTrump dodges rigged-election question, calls Massie loserDonald Trump · 545 plays · captioned, with the source named

Sen. Ron Wyden of Oregon is the top Democrat on the Senate Finance Committee, which writes tax and trade law, and is expected to become its chairman in January 1. He said voters gave Democrats "a mandate to rein in Trump's tariffs that are raising prices all across our country," and said he hoped Republicans would join Democrats to roll them back 1.

Ron Wyden
If not, it will be crystal clear whose side Republicans are on
Ron Wyden, Ranking Democrat, Senate Finance Committee, D-Oregon1

The Daily Beast reported that Wyden told the Wall Street Journal there is "overwhelming support for repealing the tariffs on products from Canada." He added that "Congress must take away the president's ability to unilaterally and arbitrarily impose tariffs" 2.

What the tariffs cost you

American companies pay a tariff when they bring in a foreign product, and part of that cost reaches store shelves. A study by New York Federal Reserve economists, revised in September, found that about 26 percent of the 2025 tariff increases showed up in consumer prices 41.

Some of that increase comes from imports themselves. The rest comes indirectly: imported parts cost more, and U.S. makers raise their own prices when competing imports get more expensive. The study found that the indirect effect takes nine to twelve months to work through the economy 4. In other words, last year's tariffs are still reaching your grocery bill.

Over the summer, Trump put 50% duties on Canadian goods, and he has raised tariffs on steel and aluminum to 50% 1. Less than two weeks before Election Day, he exempted some products from the Canada duties, including plywood and packaging 1. Wyden has pointed out that Canada is the biggest export market for 32 states and that 8 million American jobs depend on trade with Canada 5.

The Republican receipts

On February 11, the House voted 219-211 to end the national emergency Trump used to justify his tariffs on Canada 3. Rep. Gregory Meeks, a New York Democrat, framed the choice as whether members would "vote to lower the cost of living for the American family" 3. Before the vote, Trump issued a warning on social media 3:

Donald Trump
Any Republican, in the House or the Senate, that votes against TARIFFS will seriously suffer the consequences
Donald Trump, President of the United States, Republican3

He added: "come Election time, and that includes Primaries!" 3 Only six Republicans voted with Democrats. One was Rep. Don Bacon of Nebraska, who is retiring 1. Asked whether the election results should make Republicans rethink tariffs, Bacon said, "It should" 1.

Don Bacon
Trump's tariffs killed the GOP this election.
Don Bacon, U.S. representative, R-Nebraska1

Other Republicans are changing their tune now that the votes are counted. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas posted on X that "Tariffs have made everything too expensive." CNN noted that in 2025 he voted against all five Senate resolutions to repeal the tariffs 1. Sen. Susan Collins of Maine, who lost her race, had taken credit for winning tariff relief on road salt, cement and other goods 6.

Brian Darling is a Republican strategist and a former counsel to Sen. Rand Paul. He told CNN that "Republicans are going to have to take a hard look in the mirror and take a second look at their position" 1.

The White House isn't budging

House Speaker Mike Johnson said Trump was not upset with the Republicans who voted against the tariffs. "He understands what's going on. It's not going to affect or change his policy," Johnson said 1.

Mike Johnson
He can veto these things if they come to it
Mike Johnson, Speaker of the House, R-Louisiana1

White House spokesman Matthew Middleton defended the policy as "Putting a stop to American workers, farmers, and businesses being ripped off by lopsided trade agreements" 1. CNN reported that the White House has given no sign it plans to slow down 1.

Democrats will not agree on every tariff either. CNN reported that the steel and aluminum tariffs could be especially hard to roll back because some labor-backed Democrats support them 16. Scott Lincicome of the libertarian Cato Institute said, "There are still going to be some Democrats that are still kind of old-school labor union Dems" 1.

The pattern is plain. Before the election, Trump threatened primaries against any Republican who voted against his tariffs, and most stayed in line 31. Lobbyist Brian Pomper of the law firm Akin Gump told CNN that "Any member who is up for re-election in 2028 has got to be looking at what happened here in 2026" 1. The real test comes in January: whether those private worries turn into 12 Republican votes in the Senate and 35 in the House.

The Record

  1. Sen. Ron Wyden urges the Senate to pass a resolution ending Trump's tariffs on Canadian goods, saying they make groceries, housing, energy and cars more expensive 5.
  2. The House votes 219-211 to end the emergency behind Trump's Canada tariffs; Trump warns Republicans who vote against tariffs will 'seriously suffer the consequences' 3.
  3. New York Fed economists publish a study finding about 26 percent of 2025 tariff increases reached consumer prices; it is revised in September 4.
  4. On Election Day, Trump says in a podcast interview, 'I'll become Mr. Veto,' if Congress moves against his tariffs 1.
  5. CNN reports Democrats will hold at least 55 Senate seats and 255 House seats, short of the two-thirds needed to override a veto 1.
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Sources

  1. CNN (via Yahoo News), “Trump's tariffs face a new threat: Republicans” (2026-11-13). yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/trump-tariffs-face-threat-r
  2. The Daily Beast, “Dems Pick First Target in Plot to Tear Trump's Agenda Apart” (2026-11-06). thedailybeast.com/dems-pick-canada-as-first-target-in-plot-t
  3. AP (via Yahoo News), “House votes to slap back Trump's tariffs on Canada in rare bipartisan rebuke” (2026-02-11). yahoo.com/news/articles/house-faces-showdown-vote-over-22321
  4. Federal Reserve Bank of New York, “The Anatomy of Tariff Pass-Through into Consumer Prices (Staff Report no. 1201)” (2026-08-01). newyorkfed.org/research/staff_reports/sr1201.html
  5. Senate Finance Committee, “Wyden Urges Passage of Bipartisan Legislation to Undo Trump's Canada Tariffs” (2025-10-29). finance.senate.gov/ranking-members-news/wyden-urges-passage-
  6. CNN (via KEYT), “Trump's tariffs face a new threat: Republicans” (2026-11-13). keyt.com/news/money-and-business/cnn-business-consumer/2026/

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