Your Money · Report · File No. 261107-162
California voters reject one-time 5% billionaire tax, projections show
Proposition 40 is failing after opponents spent hundreds of millions against it. Gov. Gavin Newsom backs a federal billionaire tax, and the union behind the measure says it will try again in 2028.
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California voters are rejecting a proposed wealth tax on billionaire residents, according to a projection from Decision Desk HQ, an election-results firm. Its count showed 54 percent voting no and 46 percent voting yes, with 76 percent of the vote counted 1. The result is a major win for tech and business executives who spent hundreds of millions against the measure 1.
Proposition 40 would have set a one-time 5 percent tax on billionaires' wealth, a first in the nation 1. Most of the money would have gone to state health care programs. The rest would have gone to food assistance and education 1.
What the tax would have done
The tax would have covered stocks, bonds, business holdings and other personal property of about 200 billionaires 2. People who lived in California on Jan. 1, 2026 would have been taxed on their net worth as of Dec. 31, 2026. They could have paid in one lump sum or over five years 2.
The state's nonpartisan Legislative Analyst's Office said California would have collected tens of billions of dollars 1. The union behind the measure projected about $100 billion over five years for health care and education 2.
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Democrats were split
The fight divided Democrats. The California Democratic Party, the AFL-CIO and the Teamsters backed the measure 1. Gov. Gavin Newsom, a Democrat, opposed it 1.
Newsom said he supports a federal billionaire tax. He objected to sending "almost all of the revenue" to health care 1. He laid out his case in a June post on Substack, a newsletter site 1.
There is nothing for housing, nothing for childcare, nothing for public safety workers who must answer 911 calls, and nothing for our public universities that have powered California’s economy for a decade
Opponents outspent supporters by a wide margin. Billionaires gave more than $333 million to a nonprofit called Building a Better California, according to The Hill 1. CalMatters, a nonprofit news site, counted $316.7 million in opposition spending, including money for two other ballot measures. It said Google co-founder Sergey Brin gave $102 million 2.
Those two measures, Propositions 41 and 42, were written to block the tax. Under the state constitution, if either got more votes than Prop. 40, the billionaire tax would be void 2. Early returns showed Prop. 42 ahead with 54.3 percent 2.
What happens next
The union behind Prop. 40 appeared to concede, but it said it will try again in 2028. Its president, Dave Regan, said so directly 2.
That's not a hypothetical. That's our plan.
That matters beyond California. Democrats nationally have campaigned on making the wealthy pay more. This result shows that even in a deep-blue state, voters can balk at a tax when its design is contested and the other side spends heavily. Before the election, polls showed more voters opposed it, though the margins were tight 1.
Vote counting continues, and the totals may shift. These are projections, not final results.
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Sources
- The Hill, “California rejects billionaire tax proposal in win for executives, Newsom” (2026-11-07). thehill.com/business/6185092-california-voters-reject-wealth
- CalMatters, “California election 2026: Props. 40, 41, 42” (2026-11-04). calmatters.org/health/2026/11/california-election-2026-prop-
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