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ACA open enrollment opens today for 2027 with 13% benchmark premium rise and new ID checks AARP warns a flat-rate COLA would shrink raises for 80% of Social Security recipients On tape: Talarico: 1.6 million donors fund our campaign. Ken Paxton is funded by "one dude." Obama's final-week rallies for Democrats draw Trump's fire and cheers from the party's base On tape: Adam Schiff: They don't want you to see the report. Census race and ethnicity question faces comment deadline Monday as critics warn of lost data Republicans eye lame-duck debt-limit and defense bills, but face votes, rules and time On tape: I don't know what happened to the Republicans in the state: Lamont says the Bush GOP would be outraged. Election night guide: when key House and Senate races could be called Tuesday Trump's net approval about 21.7 to 27 points underwater in four trackers before Tuesday ACA open enrollment opens today for 2027 with 13% benchmark premium rise and new ID checks AARP warns a flat-rate COLA would shrink raises for 80% of Social Security recipients On tape: Talarico: 1.6 million donors fund our campaign. Ken Paxton is funded by "one dude." Obama's final-week rallies for Democrats draw Trump's fire and cheers from the party's base On tape: Adam Schiff: They don't want you to see the report. Census race and ethnicity question faces comment deadline Monday as critics warn of lost data Republicans eye lame-duck debt-limit and defense bills, but face votes, rules and time On tape: I don't know what happened to the Republicans in the state: Lamont says the Bush GOP would be outraged. Election night guide: when key House and Senate races could be called Tuesday Trump's net approval about 21.7 to 27 points underwater in four trackers before Tuesday

Congress Watch · Report · File No. 261101-845

Republicans eye lame-duck debt-limit and defense bills, but face votes, rules and time

GOP leaders could use the weeks after Tuesday's election to raise the debt limit and pass defense and funding bills before the new Congress starts Jan. 3. Their own members doubt they have the votes, the attendance or the time.

Every quote in this story (1) was matched word for word against its source. How we work

John Thune
John Thune. Photo: U.S. Senate Photographic Studio, Public domain

Republicans hold the House, the Senate and the White House until the new Congress convenes on Jan. 3, 2027 1. Party leaders are weighing what to push through in that gap, known as the lame-duck session. Reports from the past several weeks show a long list of goals and open doubts about getting them done.

What Republicans are weighing

The firmest deadline is Dec. 11, when the current stopgap government funding law runs out 1. Congress must replace it or push 2027 spending decisions into the next Congress 1. The annual defense policy bill for fiscal 2027 is also a central year-end goal, though Iran war oversight and policy add-ons complicate talks 1.

Republicans are also preparing for a possible debt-limit increase large enough to cover the rest of Trump's term 1. The debt limit is the legal cap on what the government can borrow. The aim is to keep Democrats from using a future borrowing deadline to win policy concessions 1.

A third party-line bill, called reconciliation, could pair that increase with defense money and farm aid 1. Reconciliation lets the Senate pass certain budget bills with 51 votes, avoiding a Democratic filibuster 3. No package is settled 1.

From Channel GOPRepublican senator: House is lost, Trump must own itThom Tillis · 244 plays · captioned, with the source named

The votes, the rules and the calendar

Senate Majority Leader John Thune has said another reconciliation bill would be difficult even in the lame duck 2. Thune has acknowledged as a possibility a debt-limit increase through Trump's term 2. Sen. Cynthia Lummis, a Wyoming Republican who is retiring, said of that idea: "I don't like that idea." 2

Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky said he would not vote to raise the debt ceiling without big changes to spending, and he pointed to Medicaid 3. Medicaid is the health program for low-income people and many nursing home residents. Obstacles named by one legal analysis include conservatives' demands for spending cuts, narrow margins, departing members and Senate budget rules 1.

The question becomes: Who shows up for work after the elections?
Austin Scott, U.S. Representative, Republican-Georgia2

Time is short. Politico counted about 24 legislative days, according to a summary of its report 2. Sen. Thom Tillis, a North Carolina Republican, asked why Democrats would cooperate if they win the House: "why would they?" 2

Taxes and health care

A narrow tax package could renew the lapsed Work Opportunity Tax Credit, an employer hiring credit, and restore the full gambling-loss deduction 1. Selected health care extensions and possible hospital price transparency legislation are candidates for a year-end package 1. A broader tax deal would be harder 1.

The legal analysis does not mention Social Security 1. Republican leaders have not publicly tied that program to the lame-duck plan in the reports we reviewed.

What happens next

The size of any GOP push depends on Tuesday's results. If Democrats win the House, Republicans would have little time and a smaller incentive to act. That matters because a debt-limit increase passed now would reduce Democrats' leverage in 2027.

We could not reach Democratic leaders' offices for comment, and the reports we reviewed did not include a Democratic response to the plan. We will update this story when we have one.

The Record

  1. Thune said the Senate would not take up another budget resolution until after the election 3.
  2. Republicans voiced doubts about lame-duck attendance and votes, according to a Politico summary 2.
  3. Current government funding stopgap expires 1.
  4. New Congress convenes; Republicans control both chambers until then 1.
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Sources

  1. WilmerHale, “Lame Duck, High Stakes: Congress's Postelection Agenda” (2026-10-14). wilmerhale.com/en/insights/client-alerts/20261013-lame-duck-
  2. Raw Story, “Republicans doubt lame-duck ambitions (summarizing Politico)” (2026-10-13). rawstory.com/gop-lame-duck-midterms/
  3. AlterNet, “Republicans plotting immediate reaction to midterms wipeout” (2026-09-16). alternet.org/republicans-midterms-wipeout-spending-cuts

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