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Democrats split over how hard to investigate Trump if they win Congress On tape: Murphy: Gulf policy is run by Kushner and Witkoff to make Trump rich, not to protect America ProPublica flags five ways voting could be disrupted on Election Day Valadao backed Medicaid work rules; his California district may be exempt from them Georgia counties overnight new ballots after vendor delays hit up to 10,000 voters Georgia's Medicaid work-rule program may end Dec. 31 as federal rules go national Republicans privately blame Trump and Iran war for midterm woes, reports say Vance's final midterm push doubles as a 2028 test, with no decision until after Tuesday Social Security checks of up to $5,181 arrive this week; most get far less On tape: Pat Ryan: DOGE put Poughkeepsie's Social Security office on the closure list. Locals said hell no, and won. Democrats split over how hard to investigate Trump if they win Congress On tape: Murphy: Gulf policy is run by Kushner and Witkoff to make Trump rich, not to protect America ProPublica flags five ways voting could be disrupted on Election Day Valadao backed Medicaid work rules; his California district may be exempt from them Georgia counties overnight new ballots after vendor delays hit up to 10,000 voters Georgia's Medicaid work-rule program may end Dec. 31 as federal rules go national Republicans privately blame Trump and Iran war for midterm woes, reports say Vance's final midterm push doubles as a 2028 test, with no decision until after Tuesday Social Security checks of up to $5,181 arrive this week; most get far less On tape: Pat Ryan: DOGE put Poughkeepsie's Social Security office on the closure list. Locals said hell no, and won.

Corruption & Accountability · Report · File No. 261102-492

Republicans privately blame Trump and Iran war for midterm woes, reports say

Reports say GOP lawmakers and strategists privately fault Trump's Iran war and his candidate picks for the party's weak midterm outlook, even as few say so publicly. Voters go to the polls Tuesday.

Every quote in this story (1) was matched word for word against its source. How we work

Donald Trump
Donald Trump. Photo: Daniel Torok, Public domain

On the eve of the midterm elections, a Politico report says Republicans are privately blaming President Trump for the party's likely losses, even if they will not say so out loud. We could not load that report. The reporting below comes from other outlets that have covered the same private grumbling.

The Daily Beast, summarizing earlier Politico reporting, said unnamed congressional Republicans privately blame Trump's decision to start an open-ended war with Iran for driving up fuel prices 1. The war began in February, and AAA reported average gas at $4.30 a gallon and diesel at $6.32 1.

On tapeKCRG-TV9: Your Trusted Local News Source · Nov 2
Trump speaks at Dubuque rally on Iran war and gas prices ahead of midtermsVideo: KCRG-TV9: Your Trusted Local News Source on YouTube, “Trump addresses Iran war, gas prices at Dubuque rally; 3 protesters removed”. It plays from YouTube when you press play.

Candidate picks also draw blame

The same account said three unnamed GOP senators and a national GOP operative argue that Trump pushed out stronger incumbents and backed weaker replacements. One example is Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate race 1. Paxton beat Sen. John Cornyn in a runoff after Trump endorsed him 1.

Trump has pushed back in public. On Truth Social, he blamed "weak and ineffective political hacks like john cornyn and karl rove" if Paxton loses 1.

From Channel GOPRepublican senator: House is lost, Trump must own itThom Tillis · 249 plays · captioned, with the source named

The few who say it on the record

Most Republicans avoid naming Trump. Sen. Thom Tillis of North Carolina, who is not seeking reelection, is an exception. In a new book, he predicts a rout for Republicans in November and criticizes Trump's tariffs, immigration raids and the Iran war 2.

Tillis mostly blames Trump's aides rather than Trump himself. He also writes that he knows "for a fact that there are others like me" 2.

On tapeCBS News · Oct 28
CBS report: Iran war looms over midterms as costs and gas prices squeeze votersVideo: CBS News on YouTube, “Iran war will end "whenever I want it to end," Trump says as cost tops $47 billion”. It plays from YouTube when you press play.

Party figures were warning of trouble months ago. An Associated Press report from April 3 said party leaders privately conceded the House was nearly lost 3. Republican pollster Neil Newhouse said then: "You're looking at an ugly November" 3.

What Democrats say

Democrats have pressed the cost argument since the spring. Rep. Suzan DelBene, who chairs the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (the House Democrats' campaign arm), said in March that Trump "trump went into this war without thinking through the implications" 4. She called higher gas prices "this is yet another broken promise from the president saying that he's going to lower costs on day one" 4.

Republicans have defended their record. Rep. Richard Hudson, who chairs the National Republican Congressional Committee, said in March that "our policies are making the american people more prosperous" 4. White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said that when the war operation ends, gas prices "will plummet back to the multiyear lows" 4.

What happens next

Voters decide Tuesday. Until then, the blame is mostly private, so much of it rests on unnamed sources. Whether it becomes public depends on the results.

That matters because the party in power chose the war, the candidates and the message. Voters can weigh whether those who now grumble in private backed those choices in public.

The Record

  1. AP reports party leaders privately concede the House is nearly lost, with gas at $4.08 a gallon 3.
  2. AP reports Sen. Thom Tillis predicts a 'bloodbath' for Republicans in his new book 2.
  3. Daily Beast, citing Politico, reports GOP lawmakers privately blame Trump's Iran war for fuel prices 1.
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Sources

  1. The Daily Beast, “Republicans Plunge Into Raging Blame Game Ahead of Midterms Wipeout” (2026-10-19). thedailybeast.com/republicans-plunge-into-raging-blame-game-
  2. AP (via WSOC-TV), “Republican Sen. Tillis calls his vote for Hegseth the 'biggest regret of my career' in a new book” (2026-10-05). wsoctv.com/news/politics/republican-sen/YULP3OCD443UFE5G4DO4
  3. AP (via WTOP), “Trump's Iran war leaves Republicans adrift ahead of midterms” (2026-04-03). wtop.com/national/2026/04/trump-offers-murky-path-forward-fo
  4. Fox News, “Democrats pounce on $4 a gallon gas, blame Trump's Iran war for 'broken promise'” (2026-03-31). foxnews.com/politics/democrats-pounce-4-gallon-gas-blame-tru

Found an error? Tell the newsroom. Corrections are noted at the top of the story.

More from the files

Security

Hegseth ousts Pentagon's top military planner as Trump weighs new Iran strikes

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth removed Lt. Gen. Brett Sylvia, who ran the Joint Staff's strategy and planning office, and gave no public reason. He is the second officer in that job pushed out in about a year, and at least 26 generals and admirals have now left or been removed under Hegseth.

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