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On tape: Asked on camera if she's a liar, Amy Acton answers: "No, I've never lied." Rubio says Trump wants to end Iran war peacefully as both sides prepare for strikes New York Times polls show Democrats ahead in seven Senate races on eve of vote On tape: Amy Acton on her opponent and Ohio's governor's race: "My childhood did not make me weak." Hinson vows 'hell, no' on Social Security cuts; in 2020 she was open to raising the age Some House Democrats back removing Haley Stevens from caucus after Rogers endorsement On tape: Hinojosa's promise: $1,500 back to every Texas household Paxton drops Alamo rally as Texas Senate race with Talarico tightens On tape: Buttigieg on the GOP's "golden age": a $2 billion golden age for them. Newsom predicts a Democratic 'blue tsunami' on Election Day On tape: Asked on camera if she's a liar, Amy Acton answers: "No, I've never lied." Rubio says Trump wants to end Iran war peacefully as both sides prepare for strikes New York Times polls show Democrats ahead in seven Senate races on eve of vote On tape: Amy Acton on her opponent and Ohio's governor's race: "My childhood did not make me weak." Hinson vows 'hell, no' on Social Security cuts; in 2020 she was open to raising the age Some House Democrats back removing Haley Stevens from caucus after Rogers endorsement On tape: Hinojosa's promise: $1,500 back to every Texas household Paxton drops Alamo rally as Texas Senate race with Talarico tightens On tape: Buttigieg on the GOP's "golden age": a $2 billion golden age for them. Newsom predicts a Democratic 'blue tsunami' on Election Day

Midterms 2026 · Report · File No. 261102-128

Newsom predicts a Democratic 'blue tsunami' on Election Day

California Gov. Gavin Newsom told Jimmy Kimmel's audience a week before the midterms that Democrats will win big and that a large margin would make it harder for Trump to contest results. Newsom, who has said he is considering a 2028 run, called the Senate an open question.

Every quote in this story (2) was matched word for word against its source. How we work

Gavin Newsom
Gavin Newsom. Photo: Charles Ommanney – Office of the Governor of California, Public domain

California Gov. Gavin Newsom, a Democrat, predicted a wave of Democratic wins in Tuesday's midterm elections. He spoke on "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" on Wednesday, Oct. 28, about a week before Election Day 12.

"This is going to be a blue tsunami," Newsom said. He added, "I'm not asserting something that's not in evidence" 1. He also said, "We're going to see record turnout" 2.

Gavin Newsom
This is going to be a blue tsunami.
Gavin Newsom, Governor of California, Democrat1

What Newsom pointed to

Newsom cited early voting. "You're seeing all the early voting. It's off the chart," he said 1. He also said, "The energy's off the chart" 1.

He drew a line between the two chambers of Congress. Of the House of Representatives, he said it "is a fait accompli," meaning a done deal 1. He called the Senate an open question 2.

From Channel GOPTrump on pardoning officials: "I'd be allowed toDonald Trump · 186 plays · captioned, with the source named

Newsom said that if Democrats win, Congress could change. "Finally, we'll reinstate a co-equal branch of government, not a supine Congress like we know it today," he said 1.

Warning about Trump and the results

Newsom accused President Donald Trump of efforts "to literally suppress the vote." He said Trump could then "express doubt in the electoral outcome" 1. Those are Newsom's characterizations. We did not find a response from the White House in the coverage we reviewed.

His answer, he said, is winning by a lot. "If we have a big enough margin in these races, he cannot contest those races," Newsom said 1.

Gavin Newsom
If we have a big enough margin in these races, he cannot contest those races.
Gavin Newsom, Governor of California, Democrat1

Newsom said California has volunteers, election attorneys and an Election Day voting hotline in place 2.

Why it matters

The prediction is a politician's forecast, not a result. Newsom has been saying this for months. In March, he told Kimmel that Trump would be "crushed, shellacked, in the midterms" 3.

That matters because Newsom is one of the Democrats' most visible voices, and he is setting a high bar. A smaller win than a "tsunami" could look like a letdown, even if it flips the House. The pattern is that both parties talk up their chances in the final week to push their own voters to the polls.

What happens next is simple. Polls close Tuesday, Nov. 3, and results will start coming in that night. Newsom's point about margin is a reminder that close races are the ones most likely to end up in court.

The Record

  1. Newsom told Jimmy Kimmel that Trump would be 'crushed, shellacked, in the midterms' 3.
  2. Newsom told Kimmel 'This is going to be a blue tsunami' and called the House a 'fait accompli' 12.
  3. Midterm Election Day, when polls close and counting begins 1.
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Sources

  1. TheWrap, “Gavin Newsom Predicts a Midterm 'Blue Tsunami' That Will End Trump's Presidency 'As We Know It'” (2026-10-29). thewrap.com/media-platforms/politics/gavin-newsom-jimmy-kimm
  2. The Daily Beast, “Gavin Newsom Makes Bold Prediction About Trump's Future” (2026-10-29). thedailybeast.com/obsessed/gavin-newsom-predicts-midterms-wi
  3. Fox News, “Newsom predicts Trump is 'toast,' will drag GOP into midterm wipeout” (2026-03-04). foxnews.com/media/newsom-predicts-trump-toast-drag-gop-midte

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