Midterms 2026 · Report · File No. 261103-939
Republican candidates have nearly dropped Trump from their TV ads as voters go to the polls
Ad-tracking data shows Republican candidates rarely mention President Trump in their commercials, while Democrats mention him constantly. That is a sign of how Republicans see his standing on Election Day.
Every quote in this story (2) was matched word for word against its source. How we work

On Election Day, Republican candidates for Congress are running television ads that barely mention the president of their own party. Data from the ad-tracking firm AdImpact shows Trump appeared in 1% of Republican ads in October, down from 47% in May 1.
Newsweek reported that Republicans aired about 715,000 ads mentioning Trump this year. That peaked at more than 50,000 in the first week of May 1. Democrats aired 637,000 over the same period 1.
What the numbers show
A New York Times analysis of AdImpact data, as described by Newsweek, covered September 9 to October 17. Republicans spent $830 million on ads in that stretch, and under 1% of it went to ads mentioning Trump 1. Democrats spent $590 million, and about 20% of it referenced the president 1.
The Associated Press (AP) ran its own analysis of AdImpact data covering the period since September 1. Democratic candidates and allied groups spent more than $163 million on TV ads mentioning Trump, and those ads aired nearly 180,000 times 2. Republicans ran ads referencing him about 16,000 times, at an estimated cost of $11 million 2.
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The AP found Trump was the fourth most common issue in Democratic House and Senate ads in the final stretch. For Republicans, he ranked 33rd. Their top issues were taxes and crime 2.
The shift is sharp. In the primaries, Republican candidates spent $55 of every $100 on ads that mentioned Trump 1.
Who said what
Republican strategist Mike Madrid, a co-founder of the anti-Trump Lincoln Project, said candidates "can't drop the Trump anchor fast enough." He added that the distancing might be "too little, too late" 1.
The White House rejects the idea that candidates are keeping their distance. Spokesman Davis Ingle called Trump "the unequivocal leader, best messenger, and unmatched motivator for the Republican Party" 1.
Democrats say the focus on Trump is tied to prices. Katarina Flicker, a spokeswoman for House Majority PAC, a Democratic group, said "Every single poll and every single focus group shows affordability to be voters' number one issue" 2. Democratic ads often accuse Republican opponents of siding with Trump on tariffs and the Iran war, which Democrats blame for higher costs 2.
Republicans offer a different view. Alex Conant, a Republican strategist, said "Democrats want this election to be a referendum on Trump" 2. A Republican National Committee spokeswoman, Natalie Baldassarre, said "Trump Derangement Syndrome isn't a policy platform" 2.
Why it matters
Ads show what campaigns believe. Candidates pay for the messages they think will win votes, and in October most Republicans decided Trump was not one of them. Newsweek noted that a Reuters/Ipsos poll put Trump's approval at 31%, his lowest in either term 1.
Some Republicans have also broken with him on policy. Newsweek listed the Iran war, Canada tariffs and immigration among the issues, and said Sen. Susan Collins of Maine told a debate audience she was not Trump's "favorite senator" 1. Newsweek also reported that several Republicans in close races removed Trump images and references from their websites in September 1.
Trump has urged voters to "pretend I'm on the ballot" 1. Many of his party's candidates have not run their ads that way.
What happens next
Polls close tonight, and the results will show whether Republicans' decision to leave Trump out of their ads helped or hurt them. Control of the House and Senate depends on a handful of close races.
The Record
- Republican ads mentioning Trump peaked at more than 50,000 airings in the first week of May, when 47% of Republican ads mentioned him 1.
- Start of the period in which, per the NYT analysis of AdImpact data, under 1% of Republican ad spending mentioned Trump 1.
- AP reported Democrats had spent over $163 million on Trump-mentioning ads since Sept. 1, against about $11 million for Republicans 2.
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Sources
- Newsweek, “Republicans erase Trump from campaign ads in midterms” (2026-10-19). newsweek.com/republicans-erase-trump-campaign-ads-midterms-1
- AP via WCAX, “Trump wants the midterms to be all about himself. Judging by the ads, Democrats are happy to oblige” (2026-10-16). wcax.com/2026/10/16/trump-wants-midterms-be-all-about-himsel
Found an error? Tell the newsroom. Corrections are noted at the top of the story.
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